TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121243
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1177111315117118
Oleksandr Zhurba
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleksandr Zhurba below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8
101 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 27–121 Oleksandr Zhurba Dmytro Neborak has won 27 of their 148 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zhurba beat Neborak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Zhurba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 4.50 / Zhurba 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Zhurba)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13121243
Neborak4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 115 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 116
Zhurba1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 171 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it98% 105 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it87% 137 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak1wins
AwayZhurba9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak33.3%1 of 3
AwayZhurba100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak3Zhurba7n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S2Neborak5Zhurba5n = 10split evenly
S3Neborak1Zhurba9n = 10Zhurba took 9 of 10
S4Neborak1Zhurba6n = 7Zhurba took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakZhurbaN − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.939.3−8.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakZhurbaBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 832 vs 465 / 71036.3%65.5%302 / 832 vs 465 / 710Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaNeborak 4.50/Zhurba 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 15:30D. Neborak197750O. Zhurba331111113
LAug 30 · 09:00D. Neborak371177121O. Zhurba4591111143
LAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak187650O. Zhurba331111113
LAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak366111091O. Zhurba3911512113
LAug 29 · 13:00D. Neborak29711561O. Zhurba4211911113
WAug 16 · 09:00D. Neborak3811115113O. Zhurba32771171
LAug 16 · 05:30D. Neborak1945100O. Zhurba341111123
LAug 15 · 16:30D. Neborak34119771O. Zhurba4291111113
LAug 15 · 13:00D. Neborak4391111482O. Zhurba48119611113
LAug 2 · 08:00D. Neborak361013491O. Zhurba45121111113
D. Neborak10
LSep 12 · 15:30O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.507750WSep 12 · 14:30D. Neborak2.2511112A. Tur1.57690WSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103
O. Zhurba10
LSep 12 · 16:30O. Zhurba1.22117691S. Hohenko4.004111192WSep 12 · 15:30O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.507750WSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660WSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113
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