TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118114
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
11471161199––
Serhii Hohenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:43 and never touched — 78.6% is still 78.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
78.6%
78.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Serhii Hohenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-9
Point 68 set 4, 9-9 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 78.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 10–1 Serhii Hohenko Serhii Hohenko has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Zhurba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Zhurba
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1995 vs Hohenko 1744
Zhurba
Wrong
both rated, 251 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 100% vs Hohenko 60%
Zhurba
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 90% vs Hohenko 50%
Zhurba
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +5 · Hohenko -1
Zhurba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hohenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.22 / Hohenko 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Zhurba)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13118114
Zhurba1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 171 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it98% 105 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it87% 137 of 157
Hohenko4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhurba9wins
AwayHohenko1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba85.7%6 of 7
AwayHohenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba7Hohenko3n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S2Zhurba5Hohenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zhurba8Hohenko2n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S4Zhurba6Hohenko3n = 9Zhurba took 6 of 9
S5Zhurba3Hohenko1n = 4Zhurba took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhurbaHohenkoZ − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.536.9+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaHohenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 709 vs 27 / 5265.6%51.9%465 / 709 vs 27 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.22/Hohenko 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.9%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Hohenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:00O. Zhurba4211571182S. Hohenko49811118113
WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba331111113S. Hohenko206680
WAug 29 · 15:00O. Zhurba48111367113S. Hohenko42711111122
WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba3611411103S. Hohenko26911331
WAug 16 · 10:00O. Zhurba511161112113S. Hohenko4871181482
WAug 16 · 05:00O. Zhurba43111011113S. Hohenko31512591
WAug 15 · 14:00O. Zhurba4181111113S. Hohenko28117461
WAug 2 · 09:00O. Zhurba48119116113S. Hohenko4681171192
WAug 2 · 05:30O. Zhurba46111311113S. Hohenko371311491
WAug 1 · 14:59O. Zhurba47101115113S. Hohenko421281391
O. Zhurba10
WSep 12 · 15:30O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.507750WSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660WSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113
S. Hohenko10
LSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113
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