TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117465
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Hohenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5117111141012––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hohenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hohenko above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 71 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Hohenko at 65.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hohenko 7–5 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hohenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Hohenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hohenko 1758 vs Shkurupii 1646
Hohenko
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hohenko 80% vs Shkurupii 0%
Hohenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hohenko 50% vs Shkurupii 20%
Hohenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hohenko +3 · Shkurupii -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hohenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHohenko 1.44 / Shkurupii 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Hohenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117465
Hohenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Shkurupii2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 32 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back9% 6 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHohenko6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
Hohenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHohenko100%6 of 6
AwayShkurupii100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hohenko6Shkurupii4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S2Hohenko6Shkurupii4n = 10Hohenko took 6 of 10
S3Hohenko7Shkurupii3n = 10Hohenko took 7 of 10
S4Hohenko2Shkurupii3n = 5Shkurupii took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.033.1+2.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHohenkoShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 51 vs 357 / 73552.9%48.6%27 / 51 vs 357 / 735Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HohenkoHohenko 1.44/Shkurupii 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Hohenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shkurupii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko351211123O. Shkurupii27107100
WAug 30 · 06:00S. Hohenko331111113O. Shkurupii227780
LAug 29 · 16:00S. Hohenko333812101O. Shkurupii44111110123
WAug 29 · 13:30S. Hohenko361311123O. Shkurupii24113100
LAug 16 · 08:30S. Hohenko377111181O. Shkurupii4011513113
WAug 16 · 06:00S. Hohenko49151112113O. Shkurupii4413131081
WAug 15 · 16:00S. Hohenko43111011113O. Shkurupii30512851
LAug 15 · 13:30S. Hohenko36614881O. Shkurupii45111211113
WAug 2 · 07:30S. Hohenko341111123O. Shkurupii2275100
LAug 2 · 06:30S. Hohenko248970O. Shkurupii331111113
S. Hohenko10
WAug 30 · 09:30S. Hohenko1.2511117113D. Neborak3.75501161WAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100WAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182LAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113WAug 30 · 04:30D. Neborak2.2511611672S. Hohenko1.57911811113LAug 29 · 17:30D. Neborak2.5011115133S. Hohenko1.507611111LAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113LAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331
O. Shkurupii10
LSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73851151A. Tur2.0011118113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660LSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.