TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116967
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511118511––
Anton Tur
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shkurupii to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Shkurupii above · Anton Tur below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Shkurupii at 58.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shkurupii 43–34 Anton Tur Anton Tur has won 34 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shkurupii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-34 in 77
Shkurupii
Wrong
gap of 9 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shkurupii 1660 vs Tur 1878
Tur
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shkurupii 20% vs Tur 60%
Tur
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shkurupii 20% vs Tur 80%
Tur
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shkurupii +1 · Tur -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Shkurupii) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShkurupii 1.73 / Tur 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Shkurupii)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116967
Shkurupii1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 70 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 55 of 75
Tur2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShkurupii7wins
AwayTur3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShkurupii leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShkurupii85.7%6 of 7
AwayTur66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shkurupii7Tur3n = 10Shkurupii took 7 of 10
S2Shkurupii8Tur2n = 10Shkurupii took 8 of 10
S3Shkurupii7Tur3n = 10Shkurupii took 7 of 10
S4Shkurupii0Tur5n = 5Tur took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShkurupiiTurS − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.4+4.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShkurupiiTurBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 736 vs 59 / 11248.6%52.7%358 / 736 vs 59 / 112Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShkurupiiShkurupii 1.73/Tur 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Shkurupii · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tur won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 13 · 16:00O. Shkurupii371181261A. Tur4591114113
WApr 6 · 17:10O. Shkurupii42311116113A. Tur4711791192
WApr 6 · 12:30O. Shkurupii331111113A. Tur228680
WMar 9 · 16:30O. Shkurupii491111106113A. Tur4594121192
WMar 2 · 16:30O. Shkurupii351113113A. Tur2771190
WFeb 25 · 17:00O. Shkurupii331111113A. Tur209560
WFeb 25 · 14:30O. Shkurupii351311113A. Tur2511950
LFeb 17 · 10:30O. Shkurupii36971191A. Tur3911116113
LFeb 10 · 13:00O. Shkurupii4011111261A. Tur4213414113
WFeb 3 · 16:30O. Shkurupii341111123A. Tur2257100
O. Shkurupii10
WSep 12 · 15:00S. Hohenko1.445711101O. Shkurupii2.6311114123LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660LSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113
A. Tur10
LSep 12 · 14:30D. Neborak2.2511112A. Tur1.57690LSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WJun 24 · 16:00A. Vasylets4.50168491A. Tur1.17141111113WJun 24 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.001151091A. Tur1.1181112113WJun 24 · 13:00M. Baday3.759770A. Tur1.251111113WJun 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai5.007111191A. Tur1.1411913113WJun 19 · 17:38A. Tur1.4471113113M. Baday2.631151181WJun 19 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn3.754290A. Tur1.251111113WJun 19 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.00711841A. Tur1.1111711113WJun 19 · 13:00M. Baday3.25791981A. Tur1.33111117113
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