TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116752
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 0
Set by set
116119––––––
Anton Tur
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAnton Tur to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Anton Tur below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Point 37 set 2, 11-9 — our read held Anton Tur at 62.5%
37 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 14–14 Anton Tur Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tur
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1693 vs Tur 1878
Tur
Wrong
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 80% vs Tur 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 70% vs Tur 90%
Tur
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak +1 · Tur -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tur) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tur form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 2.25 / Tur 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Tur)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116752
Neborak2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 115 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 116
Tur1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite91% won 19 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak4wins
AwayTur6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTur leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak57.1%4 of 7
AwayTur100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak7Tur3n = 10Neborak took 7 of 10
S2Neborak3Tur7n = 10Tur took 7 of 10
S3Neborak6Tur4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Neborak3Tur5n = 8Tur took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakTurN − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.2−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakTurBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 830 vs 59 / 11136.3%53.2%301 / 830 vs 59 / 111Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurNeborak 2.25/Tur 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Tur · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–0
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 6 · 14:30D. Neborak4011117113A. Tur34771191
WMar 9 · 15:00D. Neborak4313711123A. Tur3611114101
LMar 2 · 18:11D. Neborak154560A. Tur331111113
WMar 2 · 14:00D. Neborak341112113A. Tur2691070
LFeb 17 · 06:30D. Neborak39511112102A. Tur44117311123
LFeb 3 · 18:42D. Neborak33167641A. Tur47141111113
LFeb 3 · 17:30D. Neborak4411712682A. Tur474111011113
LJan 12 · 16:30D. Neborak331431061A. Tur46121112113
LJan 12 · 15:30D. Neborak28941141A. Tur4111118113
WJan 6 · 16:30D. Neborak3811511113A. Tur28811631
D. Neborak10
LSep 12 · 15:30O. Zhurba1.171111113D. Neborak4.507750WSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191
A. Tur10
WSep 12 · 16:00O. Shkurupii1.73850A. Tur2.0011112LSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WJun 24 · 16:00A. Vasylets4.50168491A. Tur1.17141111113WJun 24 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.001151091A. Tur1.1181112113WJun 24 · 13:00M. Baday3.759770A. Tur1.251111113WJun 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai5.007111191A. Tur1.1411913113WJun 19 · 17:38A. Tur1.4471113113M. Baday2.631151181WJun 19 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn3.754290A. Tur1.251111113WJun 19 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.00711841A. Tur1.1111711113WJun 19 · 13:00M. Baday3.25791981A. Tur1.33111117113
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