TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117512
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Dmytro Neborak
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 85.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 117–27 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 27 of their 144 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-27 in 144
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 90 in 144, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1986 vs Neborak 1693
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 293 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 80% vs Neborak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 90% vs Neborak 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +4 · Neborak +2
Zhurba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Zhurba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.17 / Neborak 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Zhurba)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117512
Zhurba1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 171 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it98% 105 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it87% 137 of 157
Neborak4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 115 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhurba8wins
AwayNeborak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba100%7 of 7
AwayNeborak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba7Neborak3n = 10Zhurba took 7 of 10
S2Zhurba5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S3Zhurba9Neborak1n = 10Zhurba took 9 of 10
S4Zhurba4Neborak2n = 6Zhurba took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhurbaNeborakZ − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.730.2+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 708 vs 302 / 83165.5%36.3%464 / 708 vs 302 / 831Avg sets wonper match2.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.17/Neborak 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 13:00O. Zhurba4211911113D. Neborak29711561
LAug 16 · 09:00O. Zhurba32771171D. Neborak3811115113
WAug 16 · 05:30O. Zhurba341111123D. Neborak1945100
WAug 15 · 16:30O. Zhurba4291111113D. Neborak34119771
WAug 15 · 13:00O. Zhurba48119611113D. Neborak4391111482
WAug 2 · 08:00O. Zhurba45121111113D. Neborak361013491
LAug 2 · 07:00O. Zhurba33861181D. Neborak4011117113
WAug 1 · 17:00O. Zhurba351311113D. Neborak2511770
WAug 1 · 12:00O. Zhurba331111113D. Neborak188460
WJun 27 · 06:20O. Zhurba331111113D. Neborak207760
O. Zhurba10
WSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.301111113O. Shkurupii3.406660WSep 12 · 13:00O. Zhurba1.30471111113A. Tur3.4011115742WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113
D. Neborak10
WSep 12 · 14:30D. Neborak2.2511112A. Tur1.57690WSep 12 · 12:30D. Neborak2.251111123O. Shkurupii1.5774110LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641LAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113LAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113
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