TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117281
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Zhurba
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411711115117114
Anton Tur
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhurba to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Anton Tur below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 82 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 72.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhurba 80–19 Anton Tur Anton Tur has won 19 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Zhurba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-19 in 99
Zhurba
Correct
gap of 61 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhurba 1954 vs Tur 1897
Zhurba
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhurba 80% vs Tur 100%
Tur
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhurba 90% vs Tur 100%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhurba +2 · Tur +5
Tur
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tur form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhurba 1.30 / Tur 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Zhurba)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13117281
Zhurba1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite71% won 171 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it98% 105 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it87% 137 of 157
Tur3.40
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhurba9wins
AwayTur1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZhurba leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhurba90%9 of 10
AwayTurn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhurba10Tur0n = 10Zhurba took 10 of 10
S2Zhurba8Tur2n = 10Zhurba took 8 of 10
S3Zhurba6Tur4n = 10Zhurba took 6 of 10
S4Zhurba4Tur2n = 6Zhurba took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhurbaTurZ − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match40.228.9+11.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhurbaTurBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 744 vs 59 / 11065.1%53.6%484 / 744 vs 59 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhurbaZhurba 1.30/Tur 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Zhurba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zhurba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 13 · 12:00O. Zhurba4312119113A. Tur301051141
WApr 6 · 13:30O. Zhurba4311813113A. Tur348111141
WMar 9 · 17:30O. Zhurba401117123A. Tur29415100
WMar 2 · 17:30O. Zhurba3911116113A. Tur33891151
WFeb 25 · 18:00O. Zhurba331111113A. Tur208480
WFeb 25 · 13:00O. Zhurba43111011113A. Tur32412881
LFeb 17 · 12:30O. Zhurba4511117792A. Tur45671111103
WFeb 10 · 15:30O. Zhurba491111107103A. Tur4176121152
WFeb 3 · 15:00O. Zhurba341111123A. Tur1514100
WJan 12 · 18:00O. Zhurba331111113A. Tur100550
O. Zhurba10
WAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380WAug 30 · 09:00O. Zhurba1.1791111143D. Neborak4.501177121LAug 30 · 08:00S. Hohenko3.50811118113O. Zhurba1.2811571182WAug 30 · 07:00O. Zhurba1.281111113S. Hohenko3.506680WAug 30 · 05:30D. Neborak4.507650O. Zhurba1.171111113WAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:30D. Neborak4.506111091O. Zhurba1.1711512113WAug 29 · 15:00S. Hohenko3.40711111122O. Zhurba1.30111367113WAug 29 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.3011411103S. Hohenko3.40911331
A. Tur10
WJun 24 · 16:00A. Vasylets4.50168491A. Tur1.17141111113WJun 24 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.001151091A. Tur1.1181112113WJun 24 · 13:00M. Baday3.759770A. Tur1.251111113WJun 24 · 12:00S. Chuhai5.007111191A. Tur1.1411913113WJun 19 · 17:38A. Tur1.4471113113M. Baday2.631151181WJun 19 · 16:00I. Fedoryshyn3.754290A. Tur1.251111113WJun 19 · 14:30A. Lushchyk6.00711841A. Tur1.1111711113WJun 19 · 13:00M. Baday3.25791981A. Tur1.33111117113WJun 19 · 12:00S. Chuhai4.50111512662A. Tur1.178131411113WMay 15 · 17:28A. Tur1.331011114113M. Baday3.2512961172
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