TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120988
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811911––––
Slawomir Dosz
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:21 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 15–18 Slawomir Dosz Adam Dosz has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:21What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Dosz
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1969 vs Dosz 1779
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Dosz 0%
Dosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 50% vs Dosz 20%
Dosz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +1 · Dosz -5
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.67 / Dosz 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dosz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120988
Dosz1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Dosz2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz4wins
AwayDosz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz75%3 of 4
AwayDosz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz4Dosz4n = 8split evenly
S5Dosz2Dosz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.5−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 321 vs 65 / 15457.9%42.2%186 / 321 vs 65 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.67/Dosz 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz47121161172S. Dosz54149119113
WSep 12 · 12:30A. Dosz50118119113S. Dosz4241171192
WSep 12 · 03:00A. Dosz44111210113S. Dosz388101281
LSep 4 · 05:15A. Dosz34118871S. Dosz4181111113
WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz4211911113S. Dosz34811691
LSep 3 · 06:30A. Dosz4881111992S. Dosz50118911113
LAug 29 · 13:45A. Dosz215970S. Dosz331111113
LAug 29 · 08:30A. Dosz30101280S. Dosz371214113
LAug 28 · 05:15A. Dosz34611981S. Dosz4111811113
WAug 23 · 14:35A. Dosz47591111113S. Dosz4511117882
A. Dosz10
WSep 13 · 12:55A. Dosz1.73118117113M. Jadczyk2.0071191182LSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113LSep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.36116101182G. Adamiak3.00611127113LSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113WSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941LSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 13:20S. Dosz1.9181151182K. Petas1.80119119113LSep 13 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.8311119113S. Dosz1.83871161LSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.008111211113S. Dosz1.3611914692LSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski1.5711511113S. Dosz2.25911961WSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113WSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.