TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120335
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Cernik at 72.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 6–1 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Cernik
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 2086 vs Koubek 1855
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 80% vs Koubek 20%
Cernik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 80% vs Koubek 30%
Cernik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik +3 · Koubek +1
Cernik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.36 / Koubek 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Cernik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120335
Cernik1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 83 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Koubek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeCernik6wins
AwayKoubek1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderCernik leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik100%5 of 5
AwayKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S2Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S3Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S4Cernik1Koubek2n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricCernikKoubekC − KBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.332.6+5.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 328 vs 194 / 38059.8%51.1%196 / 328 vs 194 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.36/Koubek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 14:30J. Cernik48911116113V. Koubek4211981132
WMay 17 · 16:30J. Cernik421111203V. Koubek3286180
WDec 26 · 15:30J. Cernik531181310113V. Koubek40511111212
WDec 26 · 11:30J. Cernik331111113V. Koubek269890
WDec 25 · 09:00J. Cernik4011117113V. Koubek35791181
LJul 20 · 07:30J. Cernik199550V. Koubek331111113
WJul 3 · 15:30J. Cernik331111113V. Koubek205690
J. Cernik10
LSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132WSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113LSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100
V. Koubek10
LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080
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