TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125815
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211119711711––
Jan Cernik
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 6–10 Jan Cernik Tomas Kos has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kos beat Cernik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 2.25 / Cernik 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Cernik)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125815
Kos2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Cernik1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 83 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayCernik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos71.4%5 of 7
AwayCernik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos7Cernik3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Kos4Cernik6n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S3Kos4Cernik6n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S4Kos4Cernik2n = 6Kos took 4 of 6
S5Kos2Cernik3n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosCernikK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.0+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 187 vs 195 / 32749.7%59.6%93 / 187 vs 195 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikKos 2.25/Cernik 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 14:30T. Kos341112113J. Cernik2451090
WAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos5311101011113J. Cernik5191212992
WAug 28 · 10:30T. Kos341111123J. Cernik2239100
WAug 28 · 08:59T. Kos51111199113J. Cernik4396111162
LAug 28 · 07:30T. Kos30105150J. Cernik401211173
LJul 25 · 09:30T. Kos46111151182J. Cernik44541113113
LJul 25 · 06:30T. Kos218670J. Cernik331111113
LJul 19 · 12:30T. Kos51913111172J. Cernik47111528113
LJul 19 · 09:30T. Kos46111181152J. Cernik50813117113
WJul 19 · 07:00T. Kos4211911113J. Cernik26711621
T. Kos10
WSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113WSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101LSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962WSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181
J. Cernik10
WSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113LSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113
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