TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119549
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Zeman
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111210211411––
Tomas Kos
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 63 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Kos at 64.5%
63 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 2–6 Tomas Kos Lukas Zeman has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Kos
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1880 vs Kos 2051
Kos
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 80% vs Kos 100%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 70% vs Kos 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Kos +5
Kos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 3.00 / Kos 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kos)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119549
Zeman3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 33 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Kos1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayKos6wins
Kos leads 6–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZemann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKos83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman2Kos6n = 8Kos took 6 of 8
S2Zeman3Kos5n = 8Kos took 5 of 8
S3Zeman1Kos7n = 8Kos took 7 of 8
S4Zeman2Kos2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricZemanKosZ − KBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match29.633.9−4.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKosBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 521 vs 93 / 18750.3%49.7%262 / 521 vs 93 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosZeman 3.00/Kos 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2881190T. Kos351113113
LAug 15 · 14:30L. Zeman159510T. Kos331111113
LMay 9 · 17:00L. Zeman35611991T. Kos3611311113
LMay 9 · 14:00L. Zeman34117791T. Kos3851111113
LJan 20 · 10:30L. Zeman259970T. Kos331111113
LJan 20 · 07:30L. Zeman239860T. Kos331111113
WDec 20 · 16:30L. Zeman3911117103T. Kos34781181
WAug 23 · 11:00L. Zeman388111183T. Kos29117741
L. Zeman10
LSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113WSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113WSep 13 · 09:30L. Zeman1.721111122113E. Mares2.0086141142WSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113WSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741WSep 13 · 06:30E. Mares1.80811791L. Zeman1.9111311113WSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113LSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113
T. Kos10
WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113WSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101LSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962WSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181WSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113
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T. Kos
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