TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120217
Played Sep 13Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611511––––
Lukas Boruvka
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Lukas Boruvka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 79.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 2–5 Lukas Boruvka Vojtech Koubek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Boruvka
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1845 vs Boruvka 2068
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 20% vs Boruvka 60%
Boruvka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 20% vs Boruvka 70%
Boruvka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek -1 · Boruvka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boruvka form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 3.75 / Boruvka 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Boruvka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120217
Koubek3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Boruvka1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite82% won 60 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKoubek2wins
AwayBoruvka5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBoruvka leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBoruvka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek1Boruvka6n = 7Boruvka took 6 of 7
S2Koubek0Boruvka7n = 7Boruvka took 7 of 7
S3Koubek2Boruvka5n = 7Boruvka took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away571%
These 7 meetings
MetricKoubekBoruvkaK − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match27.735.3−7.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekBoruvkaBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 377 vs 115 / 16650.9%69.3%192 / 377 vs 115 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaKoubek 3.75/Boruvka 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 24 · 17:30V. Koubek204880L. Boruvka331111113
WMay 24 · 15:30V. Koubek3911611113L. Boruvka33611881
LMay 8 · 13:30V. Koubek179440L. Boruvka331111113
WMay 8 · 11:30V. Koubek47681111113L. Boruvka4511118962
LNov 18 · 21:00V. Koubek237790L. Boruvka331111113
LFeb 9 · 10:00V. Koubek2475120L. Boruvka361111143
LFeb 9 · 08:00V. Koubek2410770L. Boruvka341211113
V. Koubek10
LSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080
L. Boruvka10
WSep 13 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.531111113J. Cernik2.388770WSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961
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