TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120595
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Boruvka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Jan Cernik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Boruvka above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 60.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Boruvka 7–9 Jan Cernik Lukas Boruvka has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Cernik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boruvka 2080 vs Cernik 2062
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boruvka 60% vs Cernik 80%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boruvka 70% vs Cernik 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boruvka +2 · Cernik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Boruvka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoruvka 1.53 / Cernik 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Boruvka)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120595
Boruvka1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite82% won 60 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Cernik2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 22 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back31% 10 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoruvka5wins
AwayCernik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoruvka66.7%2 of 3
AwayCernik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boruvka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S2Boruvka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S3Boruvka8Cernik2n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S4Boruvka6Cernik4n = 10Boruvka took 6 of 10
S5Boruvka2Cernik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoruvkaCernikB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.9+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoruvkaCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 167 vs 197 / 33069.5%59.7%116 / 167 vs 197 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaBoruvka 1.53/Cernik 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 13:30L. Boruvka4311511792J. Cernik51911911113
LAug 29 · 12:30L. Boruvka311041161J. Cernik4112117113
WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka3961111113J. Cernik33119941
WJun 21 · 16:30L. Boruvka4011711113J. Cernik26511461
WJun 21 · 11:30L. Boruvka49111314113J. Cernik389151221
WJun 6 · 13:30L. Boruvka501071111113J. Cernik4012117282
LJun 6 · 12:00L. Boruvka31812471J. Cernik43111011113
WMay 10 · 15:30L. Boruvka501071111113J. Cernik3612117062
LMay 9 · 15:30L. Boruvka46711101172J. Cernik49119126113
LApr 25 · 21:30L. Boruvka4291011121J. Cernik4211125143
L. Boruvka10
WSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113WSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961
J. Cernik10
LSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132WSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113LSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941
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