TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117310
Played Sep 12Finished
Yaroslav Kravets
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161214811811––
Ivan Romaniak
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Kravets above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 63.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Kravets 5–11 Ivan Romaniak Yaroslav Kravets has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Romaniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Romaniak
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kravets 1575 vs Romaniak 1714
Romaniak
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kravets 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kravets 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kravets +1 · Romaniak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Romaniak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKravets 2.25 / Romaniak 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Romaniak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117310
Kravets2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Romaniak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 60 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKravets3wins
AwayRomaniak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRomaniak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKravets40%2 of 5
AwayRomaniak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kravets5Romaniak5n = 10split evenly
S2Kravets6Romaniak4n = 10Kravets took 6 of 10
S3Kravets4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S4Kravets0Romaniak6n = 6Romaniak took 6 of 6
S5Kravets1Romaniak2n = 3Romaniak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKravetsRomaniakK − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.838.4−4.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKravetsRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 487 vs 241 / 52849.5%45.6%241 / 487 vs 241 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakKravets 2.25/Romaniak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:05Y. Kravets—1112881I. Romaniak—61411113
WSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets—611116113I. Romaniak—11591172
LSep 7 · 16:25Y. Kravets—811581I. Romaniak—11811113
WAug 7 · 15:35Y. Kravets—1211113I. Romaniak—10870
LJul 3 · 15:35Y. Kravets—101111612I. Romaniak—124811113
WJun 27 · 08:35Y. Kravets—1111113I. Romaniak—9980
LJun 26 · 15:35Y. Kravets—61190I. Romaniak—1113113
LMay 16 · 04:35Y. Kravets—111110572I. Romaniak—881211113
LMay 15 · 15:35Y. Kravets—6730I. Romaniak—1111113
LMay 2 · 05:05Y. Kravets—128731I. Romaniak—101111113
Y. Kravets10
WSep 12 · 05:05Y. Kravets1.91101111123R. Lazebnyi1.801272101LSep 11 · 19:05Y. Kravets1.807890M. Smyrnov1.911111113LSep 11 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi1.8313115123Y. Kravets1.8311411101LSep 11 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.40111111113Y. Kravets2.75135441WSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172LSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581WSep 7 · 15:25Y. Kravets1.83111188123R. Lazebnyi1.83761111102WSep 7 · 14:25D. Pesternikov1.531061171Y. Kravets2.3812117113
I. Romaniak10
LSep 12 · 05:35I. Romaniak1.8012690N. Kovalchuk1.911411113WSep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.2029111162I. Romaniak1.6111119673WSep 11 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.9111511782I. Romaniak1.80911511113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113LSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172WSep 11 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.838970I. Romaniak1.831111113WSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113WSep 10 · 23:30N. Kovalchuk1.831311119102I. Romaniak1.83155311123WSep 7 · 16:25I. Romaniak1.5711811113Y. Kravets2.25811581
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