TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111029
Played Sep 11Finished
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
21191111911667
Ivan Romaniak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Romaniak to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Haiseniuk above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-7
Point 83 set 5, 6-7 — our read held Ivan Romaniak at 56.1%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Haiseniuk 8–5 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Romaniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Haiseniuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Haiseniuk 1545 vs Romaniak 1712
Romaniak
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Haiseniuk 40% vs Romaniak 80%
Romaniak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Haiseniuk 30% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Haiseniuk -1 · Romaniak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Romaniak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romaniak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHaiseniuk 2.20 / Romaniak 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Romaniak)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111029
Haiseniuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 44 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Romaniak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 58 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHaiseniuk5wins
AwayRomaniak5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHaiseniuk75%3 of 4
AwayRomaniak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Haiseniuk4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S2Haiseniuk6Romaniak4n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S3Haiseniuk2Romaniak8n = 10Romaniak took 8 of 10
S4Haiseniuk5Romaniak3n = 8Haiseniuk took 5 of 8
S5Haiseniuk2Romaniak1n = 3Haiseniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHaiseniukRomaniakH − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.6−1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHaiseniukRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 744 vs 239 / 52555.5%45.5%413 / 744 vs 239 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomaniakHaiseniuk 2.20/Romaniak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Romaniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romaniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk—81111113I. Romaniak—116961
LAug 28 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk—111050I. Romaniak—1312113
WAug 21 · 12:35R. Haiseniuk—13137113I. Romaniak—11111191
LAug 20 · 21:00R. Haiseniuk—711891I. Romaniak—11811113
LAug 7 · 13:35R. Haiseniuk—91181182I. Romaniak—118119113
LAug 7 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk—13770I. Romaniak—1511113
WJul 28 · 11:05R. Haiseniuk—91111113I. Romaniak—114991
LJul 4 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk—1151081I. Romaniak—51112113
WFeb 15 · 21:15R. Haiseniuk—1181211113I. Romaniak—61114892
WFeb 8 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk—111111583I. Romaniak—98131172
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 11 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.831111113R. Haiseniuk1.839660WSep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.7381111113M. Smyrnov2.00119991LSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670WSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 11 · 02:30N. Kovalchuk1.831191211113R. Haiseniuk1.8321114642WSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113LSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.009790LSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560LSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113
I. Romaniak10
WSep 11 · 17:35M. Smyrnov1.9111511782I. Romaniak1.80911511113WSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113LSep 11 · 14:05Y. Kravets2.50611116113I. Romaniak1.5011591172WSep 11 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk1.838970I. Romaniak1.831111113WSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113LSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113WSep 10 · 23:30N. Kovalchuk1.831311119102I. Romaniak1.83155311123LSep 10 · 21:30S. Rak1.441161112113I. Romaniak2.6391171492LSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100WSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181
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