TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116970
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611011115117107
Serhii Priadko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 0-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-7
Point 79 set 5, 10-7 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 61.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 6–17 Serhii Priadko Andrii Fastov has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-17 in 23
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1188 vs Priadko 1235
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 40% vs Priadko 80%
Priadko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 50% vs Priadko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +2 · Priadko +4
Priadko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 2.63 / Priadko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Priadko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116970
Fastov2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 18 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Priadko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 99 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it89% 70 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov2wins
AwayPriadko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov50%2 of 4
AwayPriadko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Fastov4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Fastov3Priadko7n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Fastov2Priadko5n = 7Priadko took 5 of 7
S5Fastov1Priadko2n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovPriadkoF − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.2−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 221 vs 258 / 62451.6%41.4%114 / 221 vs 258 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoFastov 2.63/Priadko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov—1111510113S. Priadko—99111292
LAug 22 · 08:30A. Fastov—8970S. Priadko—1111113
WAug 1 · 09:30A. Fastov—1111113S. Priadko—2670
LJul 29 · 14:00A. Fastov—8570S. Priadko—1111113
LJul 27 · 16:30A. Fastov—4116111S. Priadko—11811133
LJul 22 · 12:00A. Fastov—4101161S. Priadko—11127113
LJul 20 · 14:30A. Fastov—1111791S. Priadko—13711113
LJul 17 · 15:30A. Fastov—116891S. Priadko—81111113
LJul 12 · 16:30A. Fastov—11561182S. Priadko—611115113
LJul 8 · 12:30A. Fastov—117121182S. Priadko—1311105113
A. Fastov10
WSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092WSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271LSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113
S. Priadko10
WSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092WSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262
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