TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117284
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911119117––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 54.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 68–100 Ihor Torhachov Serhii Priadko has won 68 of their 168 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Torhachov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-100 in 168
Torhachov
Wrong
gap of 32 in 168, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1184 vs Torhachov 1266
Torhachov
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Torhachov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torhachov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.00 / Torhachov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torhachov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117284
Priadko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Torhachov1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 102 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko3wins
AwayTorhachov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko75%3 of 4
AwayTorhachov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko4Torhachov6n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S2Priadko4Torhachov6n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S3Priadko2Torhachov8n = 10Torhachov took 8 of 10
S4Priadko2Torhachov4n = 6Torhachov took 4 of 6
S5Priadko2Torhachov1n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoTorhachovP − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.440.0−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 622 vs 256 / 51041.2%50.2%256 / 622 vs 256 / 510Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovPriadko 2.00/Torhachov 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 16:30S. Priadko—10780I. Torhachov—1211113
LSep 6 · 12:30S. Priadko—111441172I. Torhachov—916115113
LSep 2 · 16:30S. Priadko—711841I. Torhachov—11911113
WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko—111177123I. Torhachov—421111102
LAug 26 · 15:00S. Priadko—9990I. Torhachov—1111113
WAug 23 · 14:30S. Priadko—136611133I. Torhachov—1111118112
LAug 19 · 13:30S. Priadko—911981I. Torhachov—11811113
LAug 12 · 15:30S. Priadko—9860I. Torhachov—1111113
WAug 9 · 17:08S. Priadko—1711143I. Torhachov—155120
LAug 9 · 12:30S. Priadko—781291I. Torhachov—111110113
S. Priadko10
WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172
I. Torhachov10
LSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070WSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250WSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.