TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100677
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71112101012116911
Roman Boklah
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 60.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 71–69 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 69 of their 140 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-69 in 140
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 140, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1178 vs Boklah 1152
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Boklah 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 20% vs Boklah 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -2 · Boklah -4
Boklah
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.53 / Boklah 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Priadko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100677
Priadko1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 100 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Boklah2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 53 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back13% 17 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%6 of 6
AwayBoklah50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Priadko7Boklah2n = 9Priadko took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBoklahP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.232.3+7.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 623 vs 258 / 62041.3%41.6%257 / 623 vs 258 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.53/Boklah 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko—81111103R. Boklah—115931
WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko—1181011113R. Boklah—51112962
WAug 29 · 06:00S. Priadko—11115113R. Boklah—261131
WAug 26 · 12:00S. Priadko—11512113R. Boklah—9111051
WAug 23 · 12:00S. Priadko—11811123R. Boklah—5116101
WAug 22 · 04:30S. Priadko—11911113R. Boklah—711571
WAug 19 · 17:34S. Priadko—51111113R. Boklah—118581
LAug 19 · 12:00S. Priadko—7118111R. Boklah—11711133
LAug 12 · 14:30S. Priadko—91111562R. Boklah—118911113
WAug 8 · 05:00S. Priadko—1111113R. Boklah—2520
S. Priadko10
LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962
R. Boklah10
LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680LSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962
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