TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100480
Played Sep 9Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117118––––
Serhii Priadko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 56.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 99–68 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 68 of their 167 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
99-68 in 167
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 31 in 167, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1270 vs Priadko 1166
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 40% vs Priadko 20%
Torhachov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 40% vs Priadko 20%
Torhachov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov -1 · Priadko -3
Priadko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Torhachov) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 1.67 / Priadko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Torhachov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100480
Torhachov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 106 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 68 of 80
Priadko2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov7wins
AwayPriadko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachov100%5 of 5
AwayPriadko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov5Priadko5n = 10split evenly
S2Torhachov6Priadko4n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S3Torhachov7Priadko3n = 10Torhachov took 7 of 10
S4Torhachov5Priadko2n = 7Torhachov took 5 of 7
S5Torhachov2Priadko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovPriadkoT − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.3+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 511 vs 257 / 62450.1%41.2%256 / 511 vs 257 / 624Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovTorhachov 1.67/Priadko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov—916115113S. Priadko—111441172
WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov—11911113S. Priadko—711841
LAug 29 · 10:00I. Torhachov—421111102S. Priadko—111177123
WAug 26 · 15:00I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9990
LAug 23 · 14:30I. Torhachov—1111118112S. Priadko—136611133
WAug 19 · 13:30I. Torhachov—11811113S. Priadko—911981
WAug 12 · 15:30I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9860
LAug 9 · 17:08I. Torhachov—155120S. Priadko—1711143
WAug 9 · 12:30I. Torhachov—111110113S. Priadko—781291
WAug 8 · 10:00I. Torhachov—611711113S. Priadko—11711782
I. Torhachov10
LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841
S. Priadko10
LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962
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