TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116958
Played Sep 12Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210117––––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 17–27 Ihor Torhachov Ihor Serdiuk has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Torhachov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-27 in 44
Torhachov
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1260 vs Torhachov 1266
Torhachov
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 60% vs Torhachov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 50% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk -1 · Torhachov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.91 / Torhachov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torhachov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13116958
Serdiuk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Torhachov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 102 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk3wins
AwayTorhachov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk60%3 of 5
AwayTorhachov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S2Serdiuk3Torhachov7n = 10Torhachov took 7 of 10
S3Serdiuk4Torhachov6n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S4Serdiuk3Torhachov3n = 6split evenly
S5Serdiuk1Torhachov3n = 4Torhachov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukTorhachovS − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.4−2.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 353 vs 256 / 51066%50.2%233 / 353 vs 256 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovSerdiuk 1.91/Torhachov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Serdiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk—1212113I. Torhachov—101070
LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk—671121I. Torhachov—1111733
LAug 29 · 11:00I. Serdiuk—121160I. Torhachov—141393
WAug 23 · 17:34I. Serdiuk—111316113I. Torhachov—9111881
LAug 23 · 15:30I. Serdiuk—812119112I. Torhachov—1110811133
WAug 9 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—119911143I. Torhachov—611116122
LAug 8 · 11:00I. Serdiuk—78120I. Torhachov—1111143
LJul 26 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—11912982I. Torhachov—7111011113
LJun 28 · 13:00I. Serdiuk—11131182I. Torhachov—411118113
LJun 21 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—7890I. Torhachov—1111113
I. Serdiuk10
LSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271LSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123
I. Torhachov10
WSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250WSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121
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