TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117294
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
31112101412117––
Ihor Serdiuk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Ihor Serdiuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 70.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 6–14 Ihor Serdiuk Andrii Fastov has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Serdiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Serdiuk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1177 vs Serdiuk 1260
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 20% vs Serdiuk 60%
Serdiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 30% vs Serdiuk 50%
Serdiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov -3 · Serdiuk +1
Fastov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Serdiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serdiuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 3.00 / Serdiuk 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Serdiuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13117294
Fastov3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 18 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Serdiuk1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 81 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov4wins
AwaySerdiuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov33.3%2 of 6
AwaySerdiuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov6Serdiuk4n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S2Fastov5Serdiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Fastov5Serdiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Fastov3Serdiuk7n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S5Fastov2Serdiuk3n = 5Serdiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovSerdiukF − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.345.2−1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovSerdiukBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 220 vs 233 / 35351.4%66%113 / 220 vs 233 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukFastov 3.00/Serdiuk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov—31214113I. Serdiuk—11101271
LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov—137761I. Serdiuk—111111113
WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov—1111411153I. Serdiuk—713118132
WAug 22 · 07:00A. Fastov—71111113I. Serdiuk—118671
LAug 1 · 07:00A. Fastov—1171381I. Serdiuk—91115113
LJul 25 · 05:30A. Fastov—12139872I. Serdiuk—10111111113
LJul 22 · 17:33A. Fastov—61111872I. Serdiuk—114611113
WJul 22 · 14:30A. Fastov—1111115133I. Serdiuk—713611112
LMay 2 · 07:00A. Fastov—11135101I. Serdiuk—131111123
LApr 26 · 13:00A. Fastov—11911792I. Serdiuk—611711113
A. Fastov10
LSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070LSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.