TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116801
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Roman Boklah
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Roman Boklah at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 5–18 Roman Boklah Andrii Fastov has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-18 in 23
Boklah
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1177 vs Boklah 1197
Boklah
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 40% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 40% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov -2 · Boklah -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Boklah) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 2.10 / Boklah 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Boklah)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116801
Fastov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 18 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Boklah1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov3wins
AwayBoklah7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov50%2 of 4
AwayBoklah83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S2Fastov5Boklah5n = 10split evenly
S3Fastov4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S4Fastov2Boklah5n = 7Boklah took 5 of 7
S5Fastov2Boklah3n = 5Boklah took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovBoklahF − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.5−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 220 vs 259 / 61551.4%42.1%113 / 220 vs 259 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahFastov 2.10/Boklah 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov—7690R. Boklah—1111113
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov—14137882R. Boklah—12111111113
WAug 29 · 10:30A. Fastov—1111113R. Boklah—7870
WAug 22 · 10:30A. Fastov—616115113R. Boklah—111471122
LAug 1 · 05:00A. Fastov—10119111R. Boklah—12611133
LJul 29 · 13:00A. Fastov—112811102R. Boklah—711115123
LJul 27 · 12:00A. Fastov—77100R. Boklah—1111123
LJul 25 · 07:30A. Fastov—6411111R. Boklah—11118133
LJul 22 · 16:00A. Fastov—86111142R. Boklah—111198113
WJul 20 · 12:30A. Fastov—111178113R. Boklah—94111192
A. Fastov10
WSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271LSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113
R. Boklah10
LSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060WSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113
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