TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117687
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 84.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 14–0 Oleksandr Kolos Oleksandr Kolos has won 0 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-0 in 14
Priadko
Correct
gap of 14 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1184 vs Kolos 1218
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Kolos 80%
Kolos
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 20% vs Kolos 60%
Kolos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Kolos +4
Kolos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.14 / Kolos 5.00
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Priadko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13117687
Priadko1.14
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 99 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it89% 70 of 79
Kolos5.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 23 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko10wins
AwayKolos0wins
Priadko leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%10 of 10
AwayKolosn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko10Kolos0n = 10Priadko took 10 of 10
S2Priadko9Kolos1n = 10Priadko took 9 of 10
S3Priadko10Kolos0n = 10Priadko took 10 of 10
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home990%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoKolosP − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match34.322.6+11.7per matchSweeps90+93–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 622 vs 156 / 29541.2%52.9%256 / 622 vs 156 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.14/Kolos 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.1%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko—1111113O. Kolos—9970
WAug 29 · 11:30S. Priadko—1111113O. Kolos—3590
WAug 22 · 06:30S. Priadko—1111133O. Kolos—47110
WAug 1 · 06:30S. Priadko—1111123O. Kolos—39100
WMay 2 · 11:30S. Priadko—1111113O. Kolos—5590
WApr 11 · 10:00S. Priadko—1111113O. Kolos—8960
WMar 25 · 13:00S. Priadko—1211113O. Kolos—10560
WFeb 11 · 08:00S. Priadko—1111123O. Kolos—76100
WJan 18 · 15:30S. Priadko—11711123O. Kolos—9116101
WJan 3 · 08:30S. Priadko—1111113O. Kolos—7380
S. Priadko10
WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101
O. Kolos10
WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113
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