TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116577
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5119111171210119
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 11–11 Oleksandr Kolos Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1177 vs Kolos 1206
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 40% vs Kolos 60%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 40% vs Kolos 60%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +1 · Kolos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 1.83 / Kolos 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolos)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116577
Fastov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolos1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov3wins
AwayKolos7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov50%3 of 6
AwayKolos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov6Kolos4n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S2Fastov6Kolos4n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S3Fastov3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S4Fastov2Kolos4n = 6Kolos took 4 of 6
S5Fastov0Kolos3n = 3Kolos took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovKolosF − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.6−3.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 220 vs 156 / 29651.4%52.7%113 / 220 vs 156 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosFastov 1.83/Kolos 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov—931211102O. Kolos—1111103123
LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov—11237782O. Kolos—9211111113
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Fastov—111468102O. Kolos—9121111123
LAug 15 · 08:00A. Fastov—811931O. Kolos—11811113
WAug 10 · 15:00A. Fastov—11116113O. Kolos—921191
LAug 1 · 08:30A. Fastov—1870O. Kolos—1111113
LJul 11 · 08:30A. Fastov—1264101O. Kolos—101111123
LJul 4 · 11:30A. Fastov—10590O. Kolos—1211113
WJul 1 · 17:28A. Fastov—1112113O. Kolos—91090
WJul 1 · 13:30A. Fastov—1111113O. Kolos—7760
A. Fastov10
WSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271LSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113
O. Kolos10
LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.