TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116673
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511115811811
Roman Boklah
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Roman Boklah at 63.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 8–36 Roman Boklah Oleksandr Kolos has won 8 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-36 in 44
Boklah
Correct
gap of 28 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1218 vs Boklah 1197
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 80% vs Boklah 60%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 60% vs Boklah 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Boklah +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Boklah) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.63 / Boklah 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Boklah)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116673
Kolos2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 23 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Boklah1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayBoklah8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos40%2 of 5
AwayBoklah100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos5Boklah5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolos6Boklah4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos2Boklah7n = 9Boklah took 7 of 9
S4Kolos1Boklah7n = 8Boklah took 7 of 8
S5Kolos1Boklah3n = 4Boklah took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosBoklahK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.4−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 295 vs 259 / 61552.9%42.1%156 / 295 vs 259 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahKolos 2.63/Boklah 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos—121399113R. Boklah—1011111132
LAug 29 · 07:30O. Kolos—811771R. Boklah—11611113
LAug 22 · 07:30O. Kolos—11115792R. Boklah—381111113
LAug 1 · 10:00O. Kolos—841161R. Boklah—1111493
LJul 4 · 10:00O. Kolos—9590R. Boklah—1111113
LMay 9 · 04:30O. Kolos—511991R. Boklah—11611113
LMay 4 · 13:00O. Kolos—111415952R. Boklah—7121711113
WApr 11 · 06:00O. Kolos—1411113R. Boklah—12650
LMar 25 · 16:00O. Kolos—1110712102R. Boklah—8121110123
LFeb 11 · 09:30O. Kolos—10550R. Boklah—1211113
O. Kolos10
LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771
R. Boklah10
WSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060WSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771
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