TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116700
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8118111171210119
Ihor Serdiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Ihor Serdiuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 60.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 25–37 Ihor Serdiuk Serhii Priadko has won 25 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Serdiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-37 in 62
Serdiuk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1199 vs Serdiuk 1260
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Serdiuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Serdiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +3 · Serdiuk -1
Priadko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Serdiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.50 / Serdiuk 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Serdiuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116700
Priadko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Serdiuk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 81 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko4wins
AwaySerdiuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko50%3 of 6
AwaySerdiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Serdiuk4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko3Serdiuk7n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S3Priadko7Serdiuk3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Priadko4Serdiuk5n = 9Serdiuk took 5 of 9
S5Priadko1Serdiuk3n = 4Serdiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoSerdiukP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.2−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoSerdiukBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 623 vs 233 / 35341.3%66%257 / 623 vs 233 / 353Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukPriadko 2.50/Serdiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 14:00S. Priadko—5111151I. Serdiuk—11713113
LAug 29 · 08:00S. Priadko—12571182I. Serdiuk—1011118113
LAug 23 · 13:00S. Priadko—771191I. Serdiuk—11118113
WAug 22 · 11:00S. Priadko—10101511113I. Serdiuk—121213852
LAug 9 · 15:30S. Priadko—11611782I. Serdiuk—611611113
LAug 8 · 08:00S. Priadko—1141161I. Serdiuk—13116113
WAug 1 · 05:30S. Priadko—1214113I. Serdiuk—101260
WJul 26 · 15:30S. Priadko—11118113I. Serdiuk—981141
LJul 24 · 15:30S. Priadko—11811482I. Serdiuk—711911113
WJul 22 · 13:30S. Priadko—111011113I. Serdiuk—612781
S. Priadko10
LSep 12 · 10:30A. Fastov2.63601111103S. Priadko1.4411115772WSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262
I. Serdiuk10
LSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271WSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070LSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980
Upcoming Matches
S. Priadko
Nothing scheduled
I. Serdiuk
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