TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116855
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111191012––
Taras Gil
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Taras Gil at 73.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–17 Taras Gil Serhii Prus has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-17 in 23
Gil
Correct
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1392 vs Gil 1508
Gil
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 20% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 10% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Gil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 3.00 / Gil 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Gil)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116855
Prus3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 36
Gil1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 39 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayGil8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus25%1 of 4
AwayGil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S2Prus3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S3Prus3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S4Prus4Gil4n = 8split evenly
S5Prus1Gil3n = 4Gil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusGilP − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.441.5−7.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusGilBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 418 vs 124 / 21847.4%56.9%198 / 418 vs 124 / 218Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilPrus 3.00/Gil 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus—11911652T. Gil—911611113
LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus—6940T. Gil—1111113
WSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus—411311113T. Gil—11411882
LJul 26 · 06:55S. Prus—91171172T. Gil—119116113
LJul 25 · 17:55S. Prus—116451T. Gil—61111113
LJul 25 · 02:15S. Prus—551181T. Gil—11118113
LJul 18 · 14:55S. Prus—76111352T. Gil—1111411113
WJul 15 · 16:25S. Prus—11136123T. Gil—81111101
LFeb 21 · 18:55S. Prus—1196101T. Gil—91111123
LJan 18 · 09:55S. Prus—7970T. Gil—1111113
S. Prus10
WSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143LSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113LSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113LSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381LSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113
T. Gil10
LSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851
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