TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116802
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1131171012811811
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 54.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 1–0 Volodymyr Kuzmych Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Palii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Palii 1508 vs Kuzmych 1429
Palii
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Kuzmych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 60% vs Kuzmych 40%
Palii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii +2 · Kuzmych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Palii) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 1.67 / Kuzmych 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Palii)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116802
Palii1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 8 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Kuzmych2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePalii1wins
AwayKuzmych0wins
Palii leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPaliiKuzmychP − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 184 vs 36 / 8257.6%43.9%106 / 184 vs 36 / 82Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiPalii 1.67/Kuzmych 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii—11119113V. Kuzmych—761161
D. Palii10
WSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971LSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113LSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113WSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161WSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142LSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970WSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112WSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842
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