TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111690
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151171210––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 58.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 3–5 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Vladimir Voronenko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:04What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Seliuchenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1676 vs Seliuchenko 1648
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Seliuchenko 40%
Seliuchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Voronenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -2 · Seliuchenko -3
Seliuchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.20 / Seliuchenko 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Seliuchenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111690
Voronenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Seliuchenko1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwaySeliuchenko5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko50%2 of 4
AwaySeliuchenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Seliuchenko4n = 8split evenly
S2Voronenko5Seliuchenko3n = 8Voronenko took 5 of 8
S3Voronenko3Seliuchenko5n = 8Seliuchenko took 5 of 8
S4Voronenko2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricVoronenkoSeliuchenkoV − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.235.0+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 524 vs 178 / 30044.7%59.3%234 / 524 vs 178 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoVoronenko 2.20/Seliuchenko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko—1111123O. Seliuchenko—57100
LAug 28 · 10:40V. Voronenko—11991692O. Seliuchenko—8111114113
LJul 17 · 17:10V. Voronenko—511951O. Seliuchenko—11511113
LJul 3 · 10:40V. Voronenko—9890O. Seliuchenko—1111113
LJun 29 · 10:40V. Voronenko—11690O. Seliuchenko—1311113
WMar 6 · 14:10V. Voronenko—91111113O. Seliuchenko—118991
WFeb 9 · 15:40V. Voronenko—1111113O. Seliuchenko—2520
LDec 7 · 06:50V. Voronenko—131141072O. Seliuchenko—1161112113
V. Voronenko10
WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113LSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682
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