TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100715
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114115––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 11–15 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1734 vs Yurkov 1663
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 20% vs Yurkov 40%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko +1 · Yurkov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.80 / Yurkov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100715
Seliuchenko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 62 of 85
Yurkov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 37 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko100%4 of 4
AwayYurkov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Seliuchenko6Yurkov4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Seliuchenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Seliuchenko4Yurkov4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoYurkovS − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.339.8−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 295 vs 590 / 99260.3%59.5%178 / 295 vs 590 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.80/Yurkov 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko—1211113A. Yurkov—10450
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko—971171A. Yurkov—11116113
WSep 1 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko—128146113A. Yurkov—1011121172
LAug 28 · 12:40O. Seliuchenko—313871A. Yurkov—111111113
WAug 26 · 09:50O. Seliuchenko—11115153A. Yurkov—8811131
WAug 25 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko—71113123A. Yurkov—11711101
WAug 19 · 07:50O. Seliuchenko—1171311123A. Yurkov—811157102
LAug 18 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko—9830A. Yurkov—1111113
WAug 12 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko—81111123A. Yurkov—1199101
LAug 5 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko—7114101A. Yurkov—11911123
O. Seliuchenko10
WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113
A. Yurkov10
LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113
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