TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100498
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210118116––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 7–6 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1712 vs Hrabskyi 1623
Seliuchenko
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 0% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Hrabskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Hrabskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -5 · Hrabskyi +1
Seliuchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.73 / Hrabskyi 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100498
Seliuchenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 62 of 85
Hrabskyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko5wins
AwayHrabskyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayHrabskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko7Hrabskyi3n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S2Seliuchenko6Hrabskyi4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Seliuchenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Hrabskyi5n = 8Hrabskyi took 5 of 8
S5Seliuchenko1Hrabskyi2n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoHrabskyiS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.5+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 293 vs 222 / 50960.1%43.6%176 / 293 vs 222 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.73/Hrabskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 10:50O. Seliuchenko—114781A. Hrabskyi—91111113
LAug 25 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko—8118111A. Hrabskyi—11511133
WAug 19 · 11:20O. Seliuchenko—11114113A. Hrabskyi—591181
LAug 18 · 16:00O. Seliuchenko—81119972A. Hrabskyi—1161711113
LAug 12 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko—97100A. Hrabskyi—1111123
WAug 5 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko—1111153A. Hrabskyi—79130
WAug 4 · 15:30O. Seliuchenko—11117123A. Hrabskyi—4911101
LJul 31 · 16:10O. Seliuchenko—11811882A. Hrabskyi—311911113
WJul 28 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko—111411113A. Hrabskyi—816871
WJul 7 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko—111147113A. Hrabskyi—78111162
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113WSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113WAug 28 · 17:10P. Plakushchyi2.0011581152O. Seliuchenko1.73511117113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123LSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113LSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172LSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.0061311692O. Seliuchenko1.731111911113
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