TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094570
Played Sep 8Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149116111311811
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 66.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 5–24 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Andrii Hrabskyi has won 5 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-24 in 29
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 19 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1616 vs Kolbasenko 1778
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 0% vs Kolbasenko 100%
Kolbasenko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Kolbasenko 90%
Kolbasenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -5 · Kolbasenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolbasenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.63 / Kolbasenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094570
Hrabskyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 118 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 90
Kolbasenko1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 68 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it85% 51 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi2wins
AwayKolbasenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi28.6%2 of 7
AwayKolbasenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Kolbasenko3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi3Kolbasenko7n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S5Hrabskyi0Kolbasenko4n = 4Kolbasenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiKolbasenkoH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.5−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 507 vs 174 / 32443.6%53.7%221 / 507 vs 174 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoHrabskyi 2.63/Kolbasenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi—971271O. Kolbasenko—111110113
LAug 26 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi—11136652O. Kolbasenko—7111111113
LAug 24 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—6111311102O. Kolbasenko—116158123
LAug 17 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1311771O. Kolbasenko—111311113
WAug 10 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi—111110113O. Kolbasenko—991261
LAug 3 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1391071O. Kolbasenko—111112113
LJul 27 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—741191O. Kolbasenko—11118113
WJul 6 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi—11511113O. Kolbasenko—311981
LJun 19 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi—111011662O. Kolbasenko—512511113
LJun 12 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi—11271182O. Kolbasenko—611117113
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123LSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113LSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi1.73114411113P. Plakushchyi2.0071111892WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113WSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101WSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641WSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850WSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123WSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102LAug 26 · 12:20O. Kolbasenko2.1081141192A. Yurkov1.67114118113WAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Hrabskyi
Nothing scheduled
O. Kolbasenko
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