TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100489
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711116118––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 58–88 Artem Yurkov Vitalii S Marushchak has won 58 of their 146 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-88 in 146
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 30 in 146, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1783 vs Yurkov 1675
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 100% vs Yurkov 60%
Marushchak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 80% vs Yurkov 60%
Marushchak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +5 · Yurkov +1
Marushchak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marushchak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.83 / Yurkov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marushchak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100489
Marushchak1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yurkov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak7wins
AwayYurkov3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak83.3%5 of 6
AwayYurkov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak6Yurkov4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S2Marushchak7Yurkov3n = 10Marushchak took 7 of 10
S3Marushchak5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Marushchak5Yurkov1n = 6Marushchak took 5 of 6
S5Marushchak2Yurkov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakYurkovM − YBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.8+7.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 643 vs 590 / 99148.2%59.5%310 / 643 vs 590 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.83/Yurkov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak—11711113A. Yurkov—911681
WSep 8 · 16:10V. Marushchak—511811153A. Yurkov—114113132
WSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak—8111115113A. Yurkov—116131382
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak—101191192A. Yurkov—122111113
LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak—8460A. Yurkov—1111113
LSep 1 · 17:00V. Marushchak—11611972A. Yurkov—811411113
WAug 31 · 11:40V. Marushchak—1111113A. Yurkov—4730
WAug 28 · 15:40V. Marushchak—111110113A. Yurkov—881241
WAug 25 · 17:00V. Marushchak—1111113A. Yurkov—6860
WAug 24 · 14:10V. Marushchak—1111113A. Yurkov—7850
V. Marushchak10
WSep 8 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko2.255140V. Marushchak1.571111113WSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153WSep 8 · 14:40V. Savoliuk2.50101191272V. Marushchak1.501261110113WSep 8 · 12:40A. Lievshin2.00119991V. Marushchak1.7351111113WSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113WSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113WSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 14:40V. Marushchak2.001111113P. Plakushchyi1.738670LSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123LSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102
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