TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094673
Played Sep 8Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1154111183111315
Vitalii S Marushchak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 92 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 88–56 Vitalii S Marushchak Vitalii S Marushchak has won 56 of their 144 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-56 in 144
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 32 in 144, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1681 vs Marushchak 1750
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 60% vs Marushchak 100%
Marushchak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 60% vs Marushchak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -1 · Marushchak +5
Marushchak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 1.73 / Marushchak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094673
Yurkov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 189
Marushchak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov5wins
AwayMarushchak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov75%3 of 4
AwayMarushchak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov4Marushchak6n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov3Marushchak7n = 10Marushchak took 7 of 10
S3Yurkov6Marushchak4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Yurkov1Marushchak5n = 6Marushchak took 5 of 6
S5Yurkov4Marushchak1n = 5Yurkov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovMarushchakY − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.840.0−5.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 990 vs 307 / 64059.6%48%590 / 990 vs 307 / 640Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovYurkov 1.73/Marushchak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 15:40A. Yurkov—116131382V. Marushchak—8111115113
WSep 4 · 17:10A. Yurkov—122111113V. Marushchak—101191192
WSep 2 · 09:50A. Yurkov—1111113V. Marushchak—8460
WSep 1 · 17:00A. Yurkov—811411113V. Marushchak—11611972
LAug 31 · 11:40A. Yurkov—4730V. Marushchak—1111113
LAug 28 · 15:40A. Yurkov—881241V. Marushchak—111110113
LAug 25 · 17:00A. Yurkov—6860V. Marushchak—1111113
LAug 24 · 14:10A. Yurkov—7850V. Marushchak—1111113
WAug 21 · 11:10A. Yurkov—1011117113V. Marushchak—12721182
WAug 18 · 15:00A. Yurkov—128113123V. Marushchak—1011811102
A. Yurkov10
WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113
V. Marushchak10
WSep 8 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko2.255140V. Marushchak1.571111113WSep 8 · 14:40V. Savoliuk2.50101191272V. Marushchak1.501261110113WSep 8 · 12:40A. Lievshin2.00119991V. Marushchak1.7351111113WSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113WSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113WSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 14:40V. Marushchak2.001111113P. Plakushchyi1.738670LSep 7 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.61811611102O. Kolbasenko2.20117117123LSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113
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