TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094707
Played Sep 8Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411119911114611
Artem Yurkov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 12–10 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1694 vs Yurkov 1673
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 40% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 40% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +2 · Yurkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.73 / Yurkov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094707
Lievshin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 115 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 91 of 111
Yurkov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin80%4 of 5
AwayYurkov60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Lievshin4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S3Lievshin6Yurkov4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin9Yurkov1n = 10Lievshin took 9 of 10
S5Lievshin2Yurkov4n = 6Yurkov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinYurkovL − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match46.443.5+2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 306 vs 589 / 99055.9%59.5%171 / 306 vs 589 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.73/Yurkov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Lievshin—127131162A. Yurkov—1411119113
WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin—51111113A. Yurkov—118861
WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin—11611113A. Yurkov—711961
WSep 1 · 19:00A. Lievshin—11911113A. Yurkov—711241
LAug 31 · 17:40A. Lievshin—81671172A. Yurkov—1114119113
LAug 28 · 17:40A. Lievshin—149131092A. Yurkov—12111112113
WAug 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin—11116113A. Yurkov—671171
WAug 25 · 19:00A. Lievshin—145711123A. Yurkov—1211117102
LAug 24 · 17:40A. Lievshin—7111011112A. Yurkov—115124133
WAug 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin—9111211113A. Yurkov—111310782
A. Lievshin10
WSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123WSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:40A. Lievshin2.00119991V. Marushchak1.7351111113LSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101LSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162WSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850LSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172WSep 7 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.7361090A. Lievshin2.001112113LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961
A. Yurkov10
LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162LSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.918111115113A. Yurkov1.80116131382WSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.3391111143P. Plakushchyi3.251188121LSep 7 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.10811139113A. Yurkov1.67116111102WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113
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