TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111138
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511119114––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 66.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 45–113 Artem Yurkov Vladimir Voronenko has won 45 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-113 in 158
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 68 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1676 vs Yurkov 1662
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +1 · Yurkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Yurkov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.63 / Yurkov 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Yurkov)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111138
Voronenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Yurkov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 211 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it72% 139 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko4wins
AwayYurkov6wins
Yurkov leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayYurkov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko6Yurkov4n = 10Voronenko took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoYurkovV − YBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.234.1−1.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 524 vs 585 / 98744.7%59.3%234 / 524 vs 585 / 987Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.940.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovVoronenko 2.63/Yurkov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko—11511113A. Yurkov—911941
LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko—1175101A. Yurkov—21111123
WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko—1511113A. Yurkov—13670
WAug 28 · 13:40V. Voronenko—121173A. Yurkov—10960
WAug 24 · 12:10V. Voronenko—11813113A. Yurkov—7111171
LAug 21 · 12:10V. Voronenko—7890A. Yurkov—1111113
LAug 17 · 12:10V. Voronenko—913651A. Yurkov—111111113
LAug 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko—1181191A. Yurkov—61113113
LAug 10 · 11:10V. Voronenko—51060A. Yurkov—1112113
LAug 7 · 12:10V. Voronenko—9780A. Yurkov—1111113
V. Voronenko10
WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670
A. Yurkov10
LSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670
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