TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100460
Played Sep 9Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411119811118
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 52–44 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 44 of their 96 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-44 in 96
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 8 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1674 vs Hrabskyi 1621
Yurkov
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Hrabskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 50% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Yurkov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov +1 · Hrabskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 1.80 / Hrabskyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100460
Yurkov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 212 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it92% 84 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it72% 138 of 192
Hrabskyi1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov5wins
AwayHrabskyi5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov75%3 of 4
AwayHrabskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S3Yurkov5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Yurkov5Hrabskyi4n = 9Yurkov took 5 of 9
S5Yurkov3Hrabskyi2n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovHrabskyiY − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.345.3−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime591 / 993 vs 223 / 51259.5%43.6%591 / 993 vs 223 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovYurkov 1.80/Hrabskyi 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:10A. Yurkov—11129123A. Hrabskyi—61011101
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Yurkov—11121210113A. Hrabskyi—714101272
LSep 4 · 14:40A. Yurkov—614100A. Hrabskyi—1116123
LSep 1 · 15:00A. Yurkov—911813102A. Hrabskyi—1191111123
WAug 31 · 15:40A. Yurkov—111110113A. Hrabskyi—791281
LAug 26 · 07:50A. Yurkov—891181A. Hrabskyi—11119113
LAug 25 · 15:00A. Yurkov—13581232A. Hrabskyi—11111110113
WAug 24 · 16:10A. Yurkov—1011114133A. Hrabskyi—128711112
LAug 19 · 12:50A. Yurkov—651181A. Hrabskyi—11118113
WAug 17 · 16:10A. Yurkov—6141111113A. Hrabskyi—11169782
A. Yurkov10
LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123WSep 8 · 11:10V. Savoliuk3.5012118872A. Yurkov1.281081111113WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291WSep 9 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.57157118112A. Hrabskyi2.251311611133LSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391LSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861WSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123LSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113
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