TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100484
Played Sep 9Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118113119––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 74.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 17–5 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-5 in 22
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1693 vs Hrabskyi 1615
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 60% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 40% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Lievshin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +1 · Hrabskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.30 / Hrabskyi 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Lievshin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100484
Lievshin1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 116 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it82% 92 of 112
Hrabskyi3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin7wins
AwayHrabskyi3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin87.5%7 of 8
AwayHrabskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin8Hrabskyi2n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S2Lievshin7Hrabskyi3n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S3Lievshin6Hrabskyi4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin4Hrabskyi2n = 6Lievshin took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinHrabskyiL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.330.4+6.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 308 vs 222 / 51055.8%43.5%172 / 308 vs 222 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.30/Hrabskyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:40A. Lievshin—11711143A. Hrabskyi—6115121
LSep 7 · 12:10A. Lievshin—111181172A. Hrabskyi—138115113
WSep 4 · 11:10A. Lievshin—11119123A. Hrabskyi—5511101
WSep 2 · 12:50A. Lievshin—1111113A. Hrabskyi—3560
WSep 1 · 13:30A. Lievshin—1111113A. Hrabskyi—6760
WAug 31 · 11:10A. Lievshin—1111113A. Hrabskyi—9960
LAug 26 · 12:50A. Lievshin—361491A. Hrabskyi—111112113
WAug 25 · 13:30A. Lievshin—11116113A. Hrabskyi—941141
WAug 24 · 12:40A. Lievshin—1111113A. Hrabskyi—8750
LAug 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin—1169101A. Hrabskyi—71111123
A. Lievshin10
WSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113LSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113WSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123WSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:40A. Lievshin2.00119991V. Marushchak1.7351111113LSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101LSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162WSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.36111114113P. Plakushchyi3.006131211LSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861WSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi2.2061011101A. Yurkov1.6111129123LSep 8 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi2.00116561V. Marushchak1.7341111113LSep 7 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.91581151V. Marushchak1.8011117113LSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi2.20714101272A. Yurkov1.6111121210113WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi3.75138115113A. Lievshin1.25111181172
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