TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100506
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211511411––––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 44 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 8–8 Anatolii Lievshin Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1734 vs Lievshin 1702
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Lievshin 80%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Lievshin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko +2 · Lievshin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.80 / Lievshin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100506
Seliuchenko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 62 of 85
Lievshin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 55 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko7wins
AwayLievshin3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko100%6 of 6
AwayLievshin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko6Lievshin4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S2Seliuchenko7Lievshin3n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S3Seliuchenko4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Lievshin2n = 5Seliuchenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.6+2.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 295 vs 173 / 30960.3%56%178 / 295 vs 173 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.80/Lievshin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko—1111411A. Lievshin—13811113
LSep 1 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko—51270A. Lievshin—1114113
WAug 28 · 16:10O. Seliuchenko—14118113A. Lievshin—1291151
LAug 25 · 17:30O. Seliuchenko—121220A. Lievshin—1414113
WAug 19 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—6940
WAug 18 · 18:30O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—8590
WAug 12 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko—911912113A. Lievshin—114111032
WAug 5 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko—14123113A. Lievshin—12101171
WAug 4 · 14:30O. Seliuchenko—117115113A. Lievshin—71171192
WJul 31 · 14:40O. Seliuchenko—1111113A. Lievshin—4570
O. Seliuchenko10
WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113WSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov1.831011121172O. Seliuchenko1.83128146113
A. Lievshin10
WSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391WSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113LSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113WSep 8 · 15:40V. Savoliuk1.83117117102A. Lievshin1.83911911123WSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143LSep 8 · 12:40A. Lievshin2.00119991V. Marushchak1.7351111113LSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101LSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.101411119113A. Lievshin1.67127131162WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.