TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100601
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111610121012––
Vladyslav Mishchenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Vladyslav Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 60.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 4–2 Vladyslav Mishchenko Vladyslav Mishchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Seliuchenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1718 vs Mishchenko 1564
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 40% vs Mishchenko 0%
Seliuchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 30% vs Mishchenko 10%
Seliuchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -1 · Mishchenko -5
Mishchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.57 / Mishchenko 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100601
Seliuchenko1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 78 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it73% 62 of 85
Mishchenko2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 43 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko4wins
AwayMishchenko2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko80%4 of 5
AwayMishchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko5Mishchenko1n = 6Seliuchenko took 5 of 6
S2Seliuchenko3Mishchenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Seliuchenko3Mishchenko3n = 6split evenly
S4Seliuchenko4Mishchenko1n = 5Seliuchenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoMishchenkoS − MBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.839.8+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 296 vs 196 / 42060.1%46.7%178 / 296 vs 196 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.57/Mishchenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko—11911113V. Mishchenko—811851
LAug 12 · 08:20O. Seliuchenko—711913152V. Mishchenko—1181111173
LJul 22 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko—1111641V. Mishchenko—81311113
WJul 17 · 13:10O. Seliuchenko—1113113V. Mishchenko—91150
WMar 6 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko—17116113V. Mishchenko—1561191
WFeb 9 · 18:10O. Seliuchenko—11713113V. Mishchenko—9111191
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410LSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113LSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682LSep 1 · 18:30Y. Shmyndra2.001111113O. Seliuchenko1.734390LSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.001114113O. Seliuchenko1.7351270WSep 1 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.832690O. Seliuchenko1.831111113
V. Mishchenko10
LSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 08:20V. Marushchak1.361211123V. Mishchenko3.00108100LSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113LAug 26 · 11:50V. Mishchenko2.25811851O. Seliuchenko1.5711911113LAug 26 · 10:20V. Mishchenko2.385730O. Kolbasenko1.531111113LAug 26 · 08:50V. Mishchenko2.1017860A. Hrabskyi1.671911113WAug 26 · 07:20V. Mishchenko2.00115211113A. Lievshin1.7371111792LAug 26 · 05:50V. Mishchenko2.3856100A. Yurkov1.531111123LAug 21 · 17:10V. Mishchenko2.101012851A. Hrabskyi1.67121011113LAug 21 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.73641111113V. Mishchenko2.0011117362
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