TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111067
Played Sep 11Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11810121012511––
Oleksandr Gomilko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Oleksandr Gomilko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 57.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 42–54 Oleksandr Gomilko Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 42 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gomilko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-54 in 96
Gomilko
Correct
gap of 12 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1662 vs Gomilko 1615
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Gomilko 40%
Hrynenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Gomilko 40%
Hrynenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -1 · Gomilko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gomilko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 2.25 / Gomilko 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Gomilko)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111067
Hrynenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 156 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back27% 49 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 97
Gomilko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 117 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 85 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko3wins
AwayGomilko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGomilko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko2Gomilko8n = 10Gomilko took 8 of 10
S2Hrynenko5Gomilko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrynenko4Gomilko6n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S4Hrynenko4Gomilko4n = 8split evenly
S5Hrynenko1Gomilko2n = 3Gomilko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoGomilkoH − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.142.1−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoGomilkoBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 908 vs 321 / 57047%56.3%427 / 908 vs 321 / 570Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoHrynenko 2.25/Gomilko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gomilko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—910100O. Gomilko—1112123
LAug 30 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—6890O. Gomilko—1111113
LAug 28 · 21:35K. Hrynenko—1014441O. Gomilko—121211113
LAug 23 · 01:05K. Hrynenko—129491O. Gomilko—101111113
WAug 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko—15511113O. Gomilko—1311881
WAug 15 · 22:35K. Hrynenko—101113123O. Gomilko—12911101
WAug 15 · 02:35K. Hrynenko—511116113O. Gomilko—11631132
LAug 7 · 22:05K. Hrynenko—71381192O. Gomilko—1111119113
LAug 2 · 03:35K. Hrynenko—12111011112O. Gomilko—145129133
LJul 25 · 04:05K. Hrynenko—71011101O. Gomilko—11127123
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 9 · 20:25V. Kobets4.501111113K. Hrynenko1.179750WSep 9 · 18:55K. Hrynenko2.104111012133S. Skachenko1.671191210112WSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123WSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113LSep 9 · 13:55O. Melashenko2.2013116113K. Hrynenko1.611151161WSep 9 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.8311611113O. Naida1.83611971WSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113WSep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.301112153D. Us3.40010130LSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740
O. Gomilko10
WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141LSep 4 · 22:35Y. Krol2.001112113O. Gomilko1.7361090WSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123
Upcoming Matches
K. Hrynenko
Sep 11 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50D. Derevynskyi1.50—Sep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 12 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.38V. Lobas1.53—Sep 12 · 03:05K. Hrynenko2.10Y. Krol1.67—Sep 12 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.10Y. Krol1.67—Sep 12 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.25O. Gomilko1.57—Sep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 13 · 01:35K. Hrynenko2.38V. Lobas1.53—Sep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.67M. Marchuk2.10—
O. Gomilko
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