TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095368
Played Sep 9Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611119117––
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 54.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 74–76 Oleksandr Naida Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 74 of their 150 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:40What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Naida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-76 in 150
Naida
Wrong
gap of 2 in 150, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1668 vs Naida 1519
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 80% vs Naida 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 70% vs Naida 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +2 · Naida +4
Naida
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.83 / Naida 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrynenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13095368
Hrynenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Naida1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko1wins
AwayNaida9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNaida leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko20%1 of 5
AwayNaida100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko5Naida5n = 10split evenly
S2Hrynenko2Naida8n = 10Naida took 8 of 10
S3Hrynenko4Naida6n = 10Naida took 6 of 10
S4Hrynenko2Naida6n = 8Naida took 6 of 8
S5Hrynenko1Naida4n = 5Naida took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoNaidaH − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.844.2−8.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 902 vs 486 / 94046.9%51.7%423 / 902 vs 486 / 940Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.83/Naida 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 02:25K. Hrynenko—11811862O. Naida—911811113
LJul 26 · 22:25K. Hrynenko—137871O. Naida—111111113
LJul 15 · 15:25K. Hrynenko—814100O. Naida—1116123
LJul 14 · 22:55K. Hrynenko—71161252O. Naida—1141110113
LJul 8 · 17:55K. Hrynenko—8870O. Naida—1111113
LJul 7 · 01:25K. Hrynenko—11119792O. Naida—741111113
LJul 1 · 18:25K. Hrynenko—651151O. Naida—11118113
LJul 1 · 02:05K. Hrynenko—4511111O. Naida—11114133
WJun 30 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—147114123O. Naida—1211811102
LJun 24 · 18:25K. Hrynenko—11211332O. Naida—9111111113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113WSep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.301112153D. Us3.40010130LSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291WSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 8 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.001112310133S. Abalmaz1.737101112112LSep 8 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.731111113K. Hrynenko2.006980LSep 8 · 24:55K. Hrynenko2.0011113892S. Skachenko1.73981111113WSep 7 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.44831191K. Hrynenko2.6311119113WSep 7 · 22:25K. Hrynenko2.201112113R. Gnoevoy1.6181090WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061
O. Naida10
WSep 9 · 02:35D. Us2.3811351252O. Naida1.538111110113WSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133WSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113WSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:25O. Naida1.44951181S. Khandetskyi2.6311114113WSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113
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