TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111019
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911113117117––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 32–40 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 32 of their 72 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gomilko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-40 in 72
Melashenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1622 vs Melashenko 1497
Gomilko
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 60% vs Melashenko 0%
Gomilko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 50% vs Melashenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -1 · Melashenko -5
Melashenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.80 / Melashenko 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Gomilko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111019
Gomilko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 117 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 85 of 112
Melashenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 113 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko4wins
AwayMelashenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko66.7%4 of 6
AwayMelashenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko6Melashenko4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gomilko2Melashenko6n = 8Melashenko took 6 of 8
S5Gomilko1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.3−0.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 567 vs 433 / 85656.6%50.6%321 / 567 vs 433 / 856Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.80/Melashenko 1.91
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gomilko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 24:35O. Gomilko—1271141O. Melashenko—14116113
WAug 29 · 23:35O. Gomilko—11119113O. Melashenko—781171
WAug 23 · 02:05O. Gomilko—1111113O. Melashenko—6270
LAug 22 · 02:35O. Gomilko—711851O. Melashenko—11811113
LAug 14 · 21:35O. Gomilko—651191O. Melashenko—11115113
LAug 7 · 23:05O. Gomilko—111151292O. Melashenko—951114113
WAug 2 · 01:05O. Gomilko—1210126113O. Melashenko—1012101152
LJul 26 · 03:35O. Gomilko—131031152O. Melashenko—1112118113
LJul 24 · 23:05O. Gomilko—7118101O. Melashenko—11511123
WJul 19 · 01:05O. Gomilko—1111113O. Melashenko—9960
O. Gomilko10
LSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 22:35Y. Krol2.101112912102O. Gomilko1.679141110123WSep 11 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.2511101051O. Gomilko1.5781212113WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113WSep 5 · 04:05V. Lobas1.8069100O. Gomilko1.911111123LSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113
O. Melashenko10
WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko1.6161111113O. Melashenko2.20118241LSep 11 · 23:05V. Lobas1.501111113O. Melashenko2.505440LSep 11 · 21:05Y. Krol1.301111153O. Melashenko3.4079130LSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950LSep 9 · 18:25O. Melashenko1.5711711782V. Kobets2.25811611113LSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182WSep 9 · 13:55O. Melashenko2.2013116113K. Hrynenko1.611151161WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113
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