TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100963
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711116711811
Vitalii Kobets
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 65.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 9–1 Vitalii Kobets Vitalii Kobets has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Melashenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Melashenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1555 vs Kobets 1493
Melashenko
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 80% vs Kobets 40%
Melashenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 70% vs Kobets 50%
Melashenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko -1 · Kobets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.57 / Kobets 2.25
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Melashenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100963
Melashenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 53 of 72
Kobets2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko9wins
AwayKobets1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%8 of 8
AwayKobetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko8Kobets2n = 10Melashenko took 8 of 10
S2Melashenko5Kobets5n = 10split evenly
S3Melashenko4Kobets6n = 10Kobets took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko7Kobets1n = 8Melashenko took 7 of 8
S5Melashenko3Kobets0n = 3Melashenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKobetsM − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.534.2+6.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 859 vs 451 / 87351.2%51.7%440 / 859 vs 451 / 873Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.57/Kobets 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko—1211113V. Kobets—10530
WAug 31 · 14:25O. Melashenko—11116113V. Kobets—471151
WAug 3 · 13:55O. Melashenko—11711113V. Kobets—811781
LJul 22 · 23:35O. Melashenko—10890V. Kobets—1211113
WJun 10 · 16:25O. Melashenko—12114113V. Kobets—1051191
WDec 28 · 22:05O. Melashenko—118811113V. Kobets—81111732
WNov 24 · 02:05O. Melashenko—119117113V. Kobets—81171192
WNov 16 · 22:05O. Melashenko—101111113V. Kobets—125971
WOct 5 · 23:35O. Melashenko—114711113V. Kobets—81111852
WAug 14 · 21:05O. Melashenko—11119113V. Kobets—881151
O. Melashenko10
LSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950LSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182WSep 9 · 13:55O. Melashenko2.2013116113K. Hrynenko1.611151161WSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990WSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530LSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872
V. Kobets10
WSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 15:25V. Kobets2.387712111S. Skachenko1.53111110133WSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113LSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113LSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530WSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181WSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113
Upcoming Matches
O. Melashenko
Nothing scheduled
V. Kobets
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