TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110972
Played Sep 11Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311118––––
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 65.5%
59 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Verbyany
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 2013 vs Bondarchuk 1915
Verbyany
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 80% vs Bondarchuk 20%
Verbyany
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 90% vs Bondarchuk 60%
Verbyany
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany +3 · Bondarchuk -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Verbyany) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 1.53 / Bondarchuk 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Verbyany)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13110972
Verbyany1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 47 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Bondarchuk2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 784 vs 189 / 33941.6%55.8%326 / 784 vs 189 / 339Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyVerbyany 1.53/Bondarchuk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Verbyany · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Verbyany won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Verbyany10
WSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101WSep 8 · 09:05A. Molochko1.4411141141V. Verbyany2.6391613113WSep 8 · 08:05V. Verbyany1.201311113A. Zeniuk4.3311180LSep 8 · 07:05N. Danyliuk1.44981111113V. Verbyany2.6311117232WSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany1.80118148113B. Kohut1.91811121162WSep 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany1.221111113A. Zeniuk4.006670WSep 7 · 16:35A. Molochko1.575111251V. Verbyany2.25111310113WSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany1.801113163B. Kohut1.91311140WSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk1.531720V. Verbyany2.381111113WSep 7 · 13:05V. Verbyany1.7312513113D. Zeniuk2.0010111181
O. Bondarchuk10
LSep 10 · 16:25D. Pesternikov2.251111113O. Bondarchuk1.576640LSep 10 · 14:55O. Bondarchuk2.7511116482N. Danyliuk1.40791111113LSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113
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