TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108313
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012911––––
Mateusz Galus
Away
2.34
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012911––––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 2–0 Mateusz Galus Mateusz Galus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Ovcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1720 vs Galus 1615
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 80% vs Galus 40%
Ovcharenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Galus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko -1 · Galus -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovcharenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.49 / Galus 2.34
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13108313
Ovcharenko1.49
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 32 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Galus2.34
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 35 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOvcharenko2wins
AwayGalus0wins
Ovcharenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoGalusO − GBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.534.0+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 176 vs 348 / 65862.5%52.9%110 / 176 vs 348 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.49/Galus 2.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WFeb 25 · 10:30M. Ovcharenko—11713113M. Galus—7111151
WFeb 24 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko—11118113M. Galus—971171
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 10 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko1.36126911113S. Wloszek2.90101111982LSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760WSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632WSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182LSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113
M. Galus10
WSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102
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