TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13050033
Played Aug 30Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111165118111210
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
13111165118111210
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 36–41 Mateusz Galus Bartlomiej Molka has won 36 of their 77 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Galus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.10 / Galus 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Galus)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13050033
Molka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 183 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back21% 49 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 133
Galus1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 147 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 102 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka4wins
AwayGalus6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka66.7%2 of 3
AwayGalus71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka3Galus7n = 10Galus took 7 of 10
S2Molka7Galus3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S3Molka5Galus5n = 10split evenly
S4Molka3Galus6n = 9Galus took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGalusM − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.8−4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1168 vs 354 / 67045.6%52.8%532 / 1168 vs 354 / 670Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusMolka 2.10/Galus 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 18:35B. Molka—411126113M. Galus—117101192
WAug 26 · 10:30B. Molka—91312113M. Galus—11111071
LAug 20 · 10:30B. Molka—11111161M. Galus—13613113
WAug 19 · 13:30B. Molka—11611123M. Galus—8117101
LAug 19 · 11:30B. Molka—116391M. Galus—61111113
LAug 3 · 09:00B. Molka—411971M. Galus—11811113
LAug 2 · 21:35B. Molka—781141M. Galus—11117113
WJul 29 · 12:40B. Molka—1315113M. Galus—111370
LJul 29 · 10:00B. Molka—9114101M. Galus—11811123
LJul 21 · 07:30B. Molka—61161122M. Galus—118118113
B. Molka10
LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123WSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111
M. Galus10
LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 21:35M. Galus1.687770J. Masternak2.051111113LAug 30 · 19:35M. Stepien1.811211113M. Galus1.8310880
Upcoming Matches
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M. Galus
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