TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13052090
Played Aug 31Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.31
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511411––––
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:10 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
611511411––––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 37–41 Mateusz Galus Bartlomiej Molka has won 37 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-41 in 78
Galus
Correct
gap of 4 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1542 vs Galus 1594
Galus
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Galus 60%
Galus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 30% vs Galus 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -3 · Galus -1
Molka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Galus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.31 / Galus 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Galus)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13052090
Molka2.31
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 185 of 413
Down 0–1, comes back21% 50 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 135
Galus1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 145 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it97% 67 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it76% 100 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayGalus5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka75%3 of 4
AwayGalus66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Galus6n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Molka7Galus3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S3Molka5Galus5n = 10split evenly
S4Molka2Galus7n = 9Galus took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGalusM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.8−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1173 vs 357 / 67545.5%52.9%534 / 1173 vs 357 / 675Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusMolka 2.31/Galus 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka—131158123M. Galus—1161111102
WAug 30 · 18:35B. Molka—411126113M. Galus—117101192
WAug 26 · 10:30B. Molka—91312113M. Galus—11111071
LAug 20 · 10:30B. Molka—11111161M. Galus—13613113
WAug 19 · 13:30B. Molka—11611123M. Galus—8117101
LAug 19 · 11:30B. Molka—116391M. Galus—61111113
LAug 3 · 09:00B. Molka—411971M. Galus—11811113
LAug 2 · 21:35B. Molka—781141M. Galus—11117113
WJul 29 · 12:40B. Molka—1315113M. Galus—111370
LJul 29 · 10:00B. Molka—9114101M. Galus—11811123
B. Molka10
LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123WSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 09:00B. Molka1.4511812133M. Burkacki2.4291110111
M. Galus10
LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102LAug 30 · 21:35M. Galus1.687770J. Masternak2.051111113LAug 30 · 19:35M. Stepien1.811211113M. Galus1.8310880
Upcoming Matches
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M. Galus
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