TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13049532
Played Aug 30Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Jan Masternak
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
711711711––––
H2H Mateusz Galus 29–24 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Galus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-24 in 53
Galus
Wrong
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1593 vs Masternak 1573
Galus
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 20% vs Masternak 80%
Masternak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 30% vs Masternak 50%
Masternak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus -2 · Masternak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Galus) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.68 / Masternak 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Galus)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13049532
Galus1.68
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 147 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 102 of 132
Masternak2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 119 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus5wins
AwayMasternak5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus50%3 of 6
AwayMasternak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus6Masternak4n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Galus5Masternak5n = 10split evenly
S3Galus5Masternak5n = 10split evenly
S4Galus4Masternak4n = 8split evenly
S5Galus2Masternak3n = 5Masternak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusMasternakG − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.2+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 669 vs 437 / 99752.9%43.8%354 / 669 vs 437 / 997Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.68/Masternak 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 12:40M. Galus—11971272J. Masternak—8111110113
WAug 27 · 08:30M. Galus—11115113J. Masternak—291191
WAug 20 · 06:30M. Galus—116118113J. Masternak—41111152
LAug 4 · 09:00M. Galus—119811152J. Masternak—211119173
LAug 2 · 18:35M. Galus—91111692J. Masternak—119711113
LJul 30 · 12:40M. Galus—128891J. Masternak—101111113
WJul 30 · 08:00M. Galus—1211113J. Masternak—10590
LJul 16 · 12:00M. Galus—91290J. Masternak—1114113
WJul 10 · 06:30M. Galus—911118113J. Masternak—11771162
WJul 9 · 09:30M. Galus—101111113J. Masternak—126881
M. Galus10
LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102LAug 30 · 19:35M. Stepien1.811211113M. Galus1.8310880
J. Masternak10
LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361WSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142LSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290LSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112
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