TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13050920
Played Aug 31Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214711611––––
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:25 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1214711611––––
H2H Pawel Gola 29–47 Mateusz Galus Pawel Gola has won 29 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-47 in 76
Galus
Correct
gap of 18 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1529 vs Galus 1618
Galus
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 80% vs Galus 20%
Gola
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 50% vs Galus 30%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Galus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Galus) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.86 / Galus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Galus)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13050920
Gola1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 85 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back15% 19 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 85
Galus1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 146 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it77% 101 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola2wins
AwayGalus8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola33.3%2 of 6
AwayGalus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola6Galus4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Gola3Galus7n = 10Galus took 7 of 10
S3Gola4Galus6n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S4Gola0Galus6n = 6Galus took 6 of 6
S5Gola1Galus3n = 4Galus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaGalusGola − GalusBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.8−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime581 / 1188 vs 359 / 67748.9%53%581 / 1188 vs 359 / 677Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGola 1.86/Galus 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola—12760M. Galus—1411113
LAug 26 · 13:30P. Gola—118116112M. Galus—511711133
LAug 26 · 11:30P. Gola—154831M. Galus—131111113
LAug 19 · 05:00P. Gola—88100M. Galus—1111123
WAug 4 · 10:00P. Gola—1211113M. Galus—10790
LAug 3 · 05:00P. Gola—10590M. Galus—1211113
LAug 2 · 17:05P. Gola—11910161M. Galus—31112183
WJul 30 · 09:30P. Gola—1111105133M. Galus—691211112
LJul 22 · 08:00P. Gola—11911762M. Galus—811811113
LJul 10 · 13:00P. Gola—91111892M. Galus—113711113
P. Gola10
WSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101WSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113LSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123WSep 4 · 13:00M. Burkacki1.984930P. Gola1.731111113WSep 4 · 12:00M. Lysakowski2.009470P. Gola1.721111113LSep 4 · 10:30P. Gola2.257640M. Stepien1.541111113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.051511118163P. Gola1.68178611142WSep 4 · 06:30S. Radlo1.888670P. Gola1.761111113
M. Galus10
LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102LAug 30 · 21:35M. Galus1.687770J. Masternak2.051111113LAug 30 · 19:35M. Stepien1.811211113M. Galus1.8310880
Upcoming Matches
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M. Galus
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